Simpson's Paradox in Electoral Democracy !

Majority party in an electoral democracy could actually be minority, the reason being , like in Simpson's paradox it's sample dependent on how different constituents are made. Different sample choices of constituents with different set of voters could lead to different locally majority parties.

Sampling is vital how constituency is created and allocated! 

 

It's also likely possible that a party with majority has actually overall less number of total votes than the parties not in power or opposition considering all other parties. That means in the existing system of democracy, soc alled majority  party with lesser number of voters in favour overall is having more number of voters against it. 

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So, so-called Majority ruling  party coudl be actually minority party being overall in various scenarios.

Hence mathematically and statistically, one safest way in the existing system is that for becoming truly majority , any party also needs to have global majority along with local majority i.e. also more than 50% of votes ! Then only true majority would established in unbiased ways.